Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 107.292777 123.553096 142.757970 167.481345 199.024203 2.387358e+02 2.939077e+02
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 83.873357 102.875490 127.643350 163.478562 216.236607 2.952792e+02 4.326337e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 72.220169 92.051770 119.546982 162.538028 232.637721 3.529338e+02 6.076791e+02
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 64.759084 85.009685 114.475161 163.557929 250.952153 4.210716e+02 8.638837e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 57.699128 77.275200 106.725422 158.048514 255.623312 4.655587e+02 1.121961e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 54.788884 75.141023 107.010967 165.743272 287.269850 5.875021e+02 1.841601e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 50.079388 69.627573 100.962008 160.670504 290.895504 6.435174e+02 2.483478e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 47.146440 66.554432 98.491169 161.726185 308.518462 7.545016e+02 3.979434e+03
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 44.111711 62.991575 94.688154 159.350973 317.178921 8.462218e+02 6.200065e+03
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 43.451508 63.235084 97.573851 171.279972 367.872818 1.163462e+03 2.102308e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 43.713811 65.030476 103.510174 191.372749 454.087157 1.855437e+03 2.625789e+06
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 41.528301 62.351783 100.572223 190.224852 472.639165 2.208638e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 39.158729 59.390706 97.213219 188.650485 494.588986 2.744919e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 36.692446 56.088435 92.872257 183.955850 504.142663 3.272906e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 34.831015 53.718990 90.131132 182.833977 528.520618 4.233620e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 33.359352 51.938833 88.390688 184.046375 565.308820 5.960227e+03 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 31.427223 49.146646 84.197759 177.505919 561.674078 6.893453e+03 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 30.833618 48.838166 85.317144 186.645737 647.649882 1.408570e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 29.233954 46.476252 81.656072 180.616292 644.893336 1.747286e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 28.249831 45.244039 80.405991 181.869786 689.235962 3.267370e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 27.087897 43.585942 78.026118 179.050457 706.028585 5.446315e+04 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 27.005375 44.054665 80.597633 193.244166 865.362819 3.790050e+06 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 27.346488 45.401038 85.442536 217.340089 1175.798421 NaN NaN